Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.262974 1.424216 1.600380 1.807491 2.044774 2.308653 2.625063
2026-01-18 1.038099 1.255762 1.512737 1.839965 2.247633 2.741441 3.388921
2026-01-25 0.862653 1.103483 1.406036 1.817155 2.366014 3.080192 4.090751
2026-02-01 0.717105 0.959857 1.280694 1.740706 2.391416 3.291062 4.650196
2026-02-08 0.616230 0.857415 1.190373 1.690526 2.434814 3.520632 5.260270
2026-02-15 0.541442 0.779335 1.120569 1.654774 2.486640 3.760593 5.914236
2026-02-22 0.503954 0.749044 1.113636 1.707471 2.673668 4.225101 6.990435
2026-03-01 0.464195 0.709874 1.087384 1.724501 2.803061 4.611333 7.995566
2026-03-08 0.418827 0.656570 1.032378 1.686761 2.834160 4.833426 8.743182
2026-03-15 0.379098 0.607894 0.979063 1.644258 2.849238 5.025775 9.462053
2026-03-22 0.365437 0.600327 0.992123 1.716426 3.075678 5.629316 11.077077
2026-03-29 0.349660 0.587376 0.994228 1.768452 3.270359 6.198761 12.723564
2026-04-05 0.331334 0.569447 0.987888 1.808309 3.455579 6.794623 14.583606
2026-04-12 0.311833 0.547650 0.972586 1.829868 3.609090 7.353859 16.489795
2026-04-19 0.287855 0.515378 0.934673 1.802558 3.658513 7.700843 17.977020
2026-04-26 0.260335 0.473940 0.875315 1.724879 3.589892 7.776292 18.814576
2026-05-03 0.238934 0.442211 0.831618 1.674407 3.573721 7.968520 19.993516
2026-05-10 0.221334 0.416282 0.796843 1.638695 3.585665 8.228534 21.411575
2026-05-17 0.214367 0.410673 0.802274 1.690673 3.807897 9.037335 24.546607
2026-05-24 0.204487 0.398284 0.792491 1.707451 3.948349 9.664217 27.311319
2026-05-31 0.190546 0.376366 0.760651 1.670097 3.950167 9.929228 29.043497
2026-06-07 0.177423 0.355101 0.728332 1.628047 3.934463 10.144928 30.676495
2026-06-14 0.174563 0.355350 0.742830 1.699418 4.223542 11.259530 35.570954